广交会大订单开始冒头 不同行业均感到“暖意”

【好展会网】 多名经济学者预测中国第三季度经济增长9%左右，很可能恢复金融危机爆发前水平 <br> <br>　　中国进出口商品交易会副主任、中国对外贸易中心党委书记王志平18日透露：本届广交会的订单结构有了可喜变化———此前在金融风暴影响下，企业收到的多是小单、短单甚至急单，如今数额巨大的订单开始增多。 <br> <br>　　“虽然小、短、急的订单还有不少，但是3000万美元、7000万美元的大订单开始冒头了。”王志平说，这出乎不少参展商的意料，许多企业表示形势比想象中好，“去年很多客商只是走走看看，今年有更多人坐下来谈生意。” <br> <br>　　订单“质量”上升，采购商的数量也在增多。据统计，截止到10月16日，本届广交会出口展区累计到会采购商57686人，比上届同期增加14.16%；到会采购商居前五位的国家（地区）依次是中国香港、马来西亚、伊朗、美国和中国台湾。欧洲采购商数量上升最迅猛，比上届同期多了约6成。 <br> <br>　　不同行业均感到“暖意”：家电企业反映中东、南美等新兴市场客户增幅较大，一些大品牌甚至出现采购商排队等待洽谈的现象；五金、工具类企业发现欧美客户回流不少；建材企业则感觉人流量比上届要大，新客户更多，主要集中在亚洲、中东地区…… <br> <br>　　作为“中国外贸晴雨表”的广交会，三天来出现的现象令人惊喜，使人对中国外贸前景信心大增。商务部副部长易小准在展馆接受采访时说：“可以感觉到他们（参展商）的信心已经回来了。同时，据国内参展商反映，国外采购商的需求量比上届有较大的回升。”他大体赞同“今年年底中国外贸出现正增长”的预测，并认为中国制造业仍将享有“比较快速的增长”。 <br> <br>　　本报综合消息国家统计局将于下周公布第三季度经济数据。多名经济学者预测，中国第三季度的经济增长率很可能恢复至国际金融危机爆发前的水平。 <br> <br>　　经济学者预测，第三季度中国主要经济指标将明显回升，呈现出投资增速加快，消费稳定增长和出口降幅持续收窄的强劲趋势，而通货膨胀的迹象尚不明显。国务院发展研究中心对外经济研究部副部长赵晋平表示，“第三季度中国经济增长率估计在9.0%左右。”中国社会科学院数量经济研究所所长汪同三认为，中国经济正处于增长加速的进程中，加上去年受国际金融危机影响的整体基数较低，第三季度中国GDP的同比增速很可能会超过9.0%。 <br> <br>　　交通银行报告预计第三季度GDP的同比增速将达9%。高盛的预测最为乐观，它认为中国经济复苏势头强劲，“第三季度的增长率会接近9.5%”。</span><br> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </FONT></td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </tbody> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </table> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td>
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